Saturday, February 28, 2009

Men's seed race in summary form

Just for fun I decided to try it the way the HL office put it out last year at least: simply enumerate all the possible outcomes of today's 4 games and show the seeding for each one. At the bottom I summarize. Big assist to Hack (whoever you are) for spotting my error from yesterday.

There are 16 possible outcomes for Saturday's games (Butler vs. CSU, UWGB vs. WSU, UWM vs. UDM, Valpo vs. YSU):

1. Butler, UWGB, UWM, and Valpo win

Butler 15-3
GB 14-4
CSU 12-6
UWM 11-7 Butler 1-1
WSU 11-7 Butler 0-2

2. Butler, UWGB, UWM, and YSU win

See #1

3. Butler, UWGB, UDM, and Valpo win

Butler 15-3
GB 14-4
CSU 12-6
WSU 11-7
UWM 10-8

4. Butler, UWGB, UDM, and YSU win

See #3

5. Butler, WSU, UWM, and Valpo win

Butler 15-3
GB 13-5
CSU 12-6 Butler 0-2, GB 1-1, UWM 1-1,
YSU/UIC 3-1, Loyola 2-0,
Valpo 2-0, Detroit 2-0, RPI 77
WSU 12-6 Butler 0-2, GB 1-1, UWM 1-1,
YSU/UIC 3-1, Loyola 2-0,
Valpo 2-0, Detroit 2-0, RPI 111
UWM 11-7
YSU 7-11
UIC 7-11
Loyola 6-12
Valpo 5-13
UDM 2-16

6. Butler, WSU, UWM, and YSU win

Butler 15-3
GB 13-5
WSU 12-6 Butler 0-2, GB 1-1, UWM 1-1,
YSU 2-0
CSU 12-6 Butler 0-2, GB 1-1, UWM 1-1,
YSU 1-1
UWM 11-7
YSU 8-10

7. Butler, WSU, UDM, and Valpo win

See #5 (with UWM at 10-8 and UDM at 3-15)

8. Butler, WSU, UDM, and YSU win

See #6 (with UWM at 10-8)

9. CSU, UWGB, UWM, and Valpo win

GB 14-4 CSU 1-1, WSU/UWM 4-0
Butler 14-4 CSU 1-1, WSU/UWM 3-1
CSU 13-5
UWM 11-7 GB 0-2, Butler 1-1
WSU 11-7 GB 0-2, Butler 0-2

10. CSU, UWGB, UWM, and YSU win

See #9

11. CSU, UWGB, UDM, and Valpo win

GB 14-4 CSU 1-1, WSU 2-0, UWM 2-0
Butler 14-4 CSU 1-1, WSU 2-0, UWM 1-1
CSU 13-5
WSU 11-7
UWM 10-8

12. CSU, UWGB, UDM, and YSU win

See #11

13. CSU, WSU, UWM, and Valpo win

Butler 14-4
GB 13-5 Butler 1-1
CSU 13-5 Butler 0-2
WSU 12-6
UWM 11-7

14. CSU, WSU, UWM, and YSU win

See #13

15. CSU, WSU, UDM, and Valpo win

Butler 14-4
GB 13-5 Butler 1-1
CSU 13-5 Butler 0-2
WSU 12-6
UWM 10-8

16. CSU, WSU, UDM, and YSU win

See #15

GB is 1 seed and Butler 2 seed if CSU and UWGB both win (4 of 16)
Butler is 1 seed and GB 2 seed otherwise (12 of 16)

WSU is 3 seed and CSU 4 seed if Butler, WSU, and YSU all win (2 of 16)
CSU is 3 seed otherwise (14 of 16)

UWM is 4 seed and WSU 5 seed if GB and UWM both win (4 of 16)
WSU is 4 seed and UWM 5 seed otherwise (unless WSU is 3 seed) (12 of 16)

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